Manta vs Independiente Del Valle Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Manta v Independiente Del Valle — Team-Based Signals
Manta vs Independiente Del Valle Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Manta
EKV1
2-1
HT 2-0
Independiente Del Valle
EKV1
Manta 0-2 Independiente Del Valle — Actual Match Statistics
Independiente Del Valle got the better of Manta 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Independiente Del Valle as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Manta had 35% of the ball to Independiente Del Valle's 65%, shots finished 6-21, expected goals 1.45 to 2.69.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Manta and 1.00 for Independiente Del Valle.
What was the final score of Manta vs Independiente Del Valle?
Manta 0-2 Independiente Del Valle in the Ecuador - Premier on 03/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Manta vs Independiente Del Valle?
Before kick-off our model rated an Independiente Del Valle win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Manta 19%, draw 22%, Independiente Del Valle 59%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Del Valle), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.