Independiente Del Valle 2-0 Manta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.22
Draw
26%
5.71
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
78%
-19.2pp
26%
Draw
15%
+11.4pp
15%
Away Win
7%
+7.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.0pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Del Valle EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Manta EU Bookmakers 9%
-6% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.80/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.85
-4% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +4%
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
393 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 162 · 73%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.1
19.3 Crosses 12.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Del Valle
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Manta
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.80 xG 0.69
76% Ball Possession 24%
20 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 1
502 Passes 117
88% Pass Accuracy 64%
28 Box Touches 7
30 Crosses 4
2 Yellow Cards 6
19.10.2021 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 1-1 HT 1-0 Manta Manta EKV1
03.05.2021 Manta Manta 2-1 HT 2-0 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Del Valle
2-0
AWAY Manta
1.65 xG 0.30
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 3
384 Passes 295
87% Pass Accuracy 86%
31 Box Touches 5
19 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Independiente Del Valle vs Manta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Del Valle beat Manta 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Independiente Del Valle as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Independiente Del Valle had 58% of the ball to Manta's 42%, shots finished 18-6, expected goals 1.65 to 0.30.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Manta led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Independiente Del Valle and 1.50 for Manta.

What was the final score of Independiente Del Valle vs Manta?

Independiente Del Valle 2-0 Manta in the Ecuador - Premier on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Del Valle vs Manta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Del Valle win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Independiente Del Valle 59%, draw 26%, Manta 15%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Del Valle), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Independiente Del Valle) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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