Uni. Catolica 2-0 Orense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 20 Apr 2025

Uni. Catolica
2-0 HT 1-0
Orense
📅20/04/2025 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✓
Ecuador - Premier – 2026

Uni. Catolica vs Orense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.49
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
63%
-5.0pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.0pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+5.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.3pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Uni. Catolica v Orense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uni. Catolica EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Orense EU Bookmakers 18%
-3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +3%
1.94/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.29
+14% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / +31%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
348 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 223 · 73%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.9
19.5 Crosses 13.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4

Uni. Catolica vs Orense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uni. Catolica
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Orense
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.47 xG 0.74
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
373 Passes 220
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.09.2024 Orense Orense 2-2 HT 2-2 Uni. Catolica EKV1
31.03.2024 Uni. Catolica 5-1 HT 3-1 Orense Orense EKV1
16.09.2023 Orense Orense 1-2 HT 1-1 Uni. Catolica EKV1
18.04.2023 Uni. Catolica 1-1 HT 0-0 Orense Orense EKV1
18.09.2022 Uni. Catolica 2-0 HT 1-0 Orense Orense EKV1
01.05.2022 Orense Orense 1-0 HT 1-0 Uni. Catolica EKV1

Uni. Catolica 2-0 Orense — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uni. Catolica
2-0
AWAY Orense
1.44 xG 0.73
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 7
341 Passes 222
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 19
10 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Uni. Catolica vs Orense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uni. Catolica saw off Orense 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Uni. Catolica as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Uni. Catolica had 58% of the ball to Orense's 42%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 1.44 to 0.73.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Uni. Catolica had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Uni. Catolica and 1.00 for Orense.

What was the final score of Uni. Catolica vs Orense?

Uni. Catolica 2-0 Orense in the Ecuador - Premier on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uni. Catolica vs Orense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uni. Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Uni. Catolica 58%, draw 22%, Orense 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Uni. Catolica), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Uni. Catolica) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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