Uni. Catolica 5-1 Orense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 31 Mar 2024

Uni. Catolica
5-1 HT 3-1
Orense
📅31/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Ecuador - Premier – 2024

Uni. Catolica vs Orense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.45
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
22%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.9
Over 2.5
40%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.06
No
62%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
65%
-12.8pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.5pp
22%
Away Win
14%
+8.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
49%
+11.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
51%
-11.2pp
38%
BTTS Yes
44%
-6.8pp
62%
BTTS No
56%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Uni. Catolica v Orense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uni. Catolica EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Orense EU Bookmakers 17%
-5% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -16%
1.69/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.32
-2% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / +12%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
361 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 73%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
21.6 Crosses 14.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5

Uni. Catolica vs Orense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uni. Catolica
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Orense
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.63 xG 0.71
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
370 Passes 224
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.09.2023 Orense Orense 1-2 HT 1-1 Uni. Catolica EKV1
18.04.2023 Uni. Catolica 1-1 HT 0-0 Orense Orense EKV1
18.09.2022 Uni. Catolica 2-0 HT 1-0 Orense Orense EKV1
01.05.2022 Orense Orense 1-0 HT 1-0 Uni. Catolica EKV1
06.11.2021 Uni. Catolica 1-0 HT 0-0 Orense Orense EKV1
22.05.2021 Orense Orense 0-3 HT 0-2 Uni. Catolica EKV1

Uni. Catolica 5-1 Orense — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uni. Catolica
5-1
AWAY Orense
2.53 xG 0.56
55% Ball Possession 45%
20 Total Shots 11
11 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
340 Passes 257
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 11
10 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Uni. Catolica vs Orense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uni. Catolica ran out comfortable winners over Orense 5-1. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Uni. Catolica as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Uni. Catolica had 55% of the ball to Orense's 45%, shots finished 20-11, expected goals 2.53 to 0.56.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Uni. Catolica had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Uni. Catolica and 0.50 for Orense.

What was the final score of Uni. Catolica vs Orense?

Uni. Catolica 5-1 Orense in the Ecuador - Premier on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uni. Catolica vs Orense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uni. Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Uni. Catolica 52%, draw 26%, Orense 22%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Uni. Catolica) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Uni. Catolica) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
EKV1 More Ecuador - Premier
31 Mar 2024
02:00 Cumbaya vs El Nacional Analysis →
23:30 Deportivo Cuenca vs Delfin Analysis →