Orense 2-2 Uni. Catolica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 14 Sep 2024

Orense
2-2 HT 2-2
Uni. Catolica
📅14/09/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Ecuador - Premier – 2024

Orense vs Uni. Catolica Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
34%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
34%
+6.1pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.5pp
34%
Away Win
38%
-4.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.8pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Orense v Uni. Catolica — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orense EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Uni. Catolica EU Bookmakers 42%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -5%
1.17/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.17
+14% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +0%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
272 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 80%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
19.5 Crosses 15.6
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.5

Orense vs Uni. Catolica Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orense
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Uni. Catolica
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.63 xG 1.71
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
222 Passes 384
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Box Touches 22
10 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
31.03.2024 Uni. Catolica 5-1 HT 3-1 Orense Orense EKV1
16.09.2023 Orense Orense 1-2 HT 1-1 Uni. Catolica EKV1
18.04.2023 Uni. Catolica 1-1 HT 0-0 Orense Orense EKV1
18.09.2022 Uni. Catolica 2-0 HT 1-0 Orense Orense EKV1
01.05.2022 Orense Orense 1-0 HT 1-0 Uni. Catolica EKV1
06.11.2021 Uni. Catolica 1-0 HT 0-0 Orense Orense EKV1

Orense 2-2 Uni. Catolica — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orense
2-2
AWAY Uni. Catolica
0.84 xG 1.44
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
217 Passes 328
71% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Orense vs Uni. Catolica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orense and Uni. Catolica shared the points in a 2-2 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Orense had 43% of the ball to Uni. Catolica's 57%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 0.84 to 1.44.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Uni. Catolica led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Orense and 1.83 for Uni. Catolica.

What was the final score of Orense vs Uni. Catolica?

Orense 2-2 Uni. Catolica in the Ecuador - Premier on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orense vs Uni. Catolica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orense win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Orense 40%, draw 26%, Uni. Catolica 34%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Orense) ✗ Under 2.5
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