Deportivo Cuenca 0-1 Emelec — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.8
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
30%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.54
Over 2.5
42%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.16
No
52%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
12%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
51%
-11.6pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.0pp
30%
Away Win
21%
+9.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
61%
-3.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
39%
+3.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.7pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Cuenca EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Emelec EU Bookmakers 24%
-4% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -12%
1.28/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.60
-4% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
319 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 74%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
21.7 Crosses 15.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Cuenca
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Emelec
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.26 xG 1.14
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
246 Passes 347
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.08.2024 Emelec Emelec 0-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
03.03.2024 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 1-2 HT 0-0 Emelec Emelec EKV1
04.12.2023 Emelec Emelec 2-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
18.06.2023 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 3-2 HT 1-1 Emelec Emelec EKV1
10.03.2023 Emelec Emelec 2-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca CON CSA
26.09.2022 Emelec Emelec 3-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Cuenca
0-1
AWAY Emelec
1.27 xG 0.86
65% Ball Possession 35%
17 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
357 Passes 163
81% Pass Accuracy 68%
19 Box Touches 7
40 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Deportivo Cuenca vs Emelec
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Emelec edged past Deportivo Cuenca 1-0 away from home in the Ecuador - Premier on 20 Apr 2025.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 42% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Deportivo Cuenca had 65% of the ball to Emelec's 35%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 1.27 to 0.86.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Emelec lead the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Deportivo Cuenca and 1.83 for Emelec.

What was the final score of Deportivo Cuenca vs Emelec?

Deportivo Cuenca 0-1 Emelec in the Ecuador - Premier on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Cuenca vs Emelec?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Cuenca win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Cuenca 40%, draw 30%, Emelec 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Deportivo Cuenca) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Cuenca) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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