Emelec 0-1 Deportivo Cuenca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 5 Aug 2024

📅05/08/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
25%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.4pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.6pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-0.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.9pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Emelec EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Cuenca EU Bookmakers 29%
-13% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -9%
1.33/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.38
-26% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
288 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 75%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
21.4 Crosses 15.1
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Emelec
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Deportivo Cuenca
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.16 xG 1.49
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
342 Passes 246
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.03.2024 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 1-2 HT 0-0 Emelec Emelec EKV1
04.12.2023 Emelec Emelec 2-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
18.06.2023 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 3-2 HT 1-1 Emelec Emelec EKV1
10.03.2023 Emelec Emelec 2-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca CON CSA
26.09.2022 Emelec Emelec 3-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
10.04.2022 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 2-2 HT 1-0 Emelec Emelec EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Emelec
0-1
AWAY Deportivo Cuenca
0.97 xG 0.51
58% Ball Possession 42%
20 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
332 Passes 221
76% Pass Accuracy 70%
22 Box Touches 8
24 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Emelec vs Deportivo Cuenca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Cuenca edged past Emelec 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Emelec at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Emelec had 58% of the ball to Deportivo Cuenca's 42%, shots finished 20-7, expected goals 0.97 to 0.51 — on chances, Emelec could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Emelec had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Emelec and 1.50 for Deportivo Cuenca.

What was the final score of Emelec vs Deportivo Cuenca?

Emelec 0-1 Deportivo Cuenca in the Ecuador - Premier on 05/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Emelec vs Deportivo Cuenca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Emelec win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Emelec 45%, draw 30%, Deportivo Cuenca 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Emelec) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Emelec) ✓ Under 2.5
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