Deportivo Cuenca 1-2 Emelec — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
30%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.68
Over 2.5
48%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
36%
+4.7pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.1pp
30%
Away Win
36%
-6.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.6pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Cuenca EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Emelec EU Bookmakers 40%
+10% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -4%
1.25/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.28
+3% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +7%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
279 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 80%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
20.3 Crosses 15.3
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Cuenca
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Emelec
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.60 xG 1.22
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
235 Passes 340
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.12.2023 Emelec Emelec 2-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
18.06.2023 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 3-2 HT 1-1 Emelec Emelec EKV1
10.03.2023 Emelec Emelec 2-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca CON CSA
26.09.2022 Emelec Emelec 3-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
10.04.2022 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 2-2 HT 1-0 Emelec Emelec EKV1
25.07.2021 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 0-1 HT 0-0 Emelec Emelec EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Cuenca
1-2
AWAY Emelec
0.41 xG 0.56
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
257 Passes 207
76% Pass Accuracy 71%
12 Box Touches 11
17 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Deportivo Cuenca vs Emelec
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Emelec edged past Deportivo Cuenca 2-1 away from home in the Ecuador - Premier on 3 Mar 2024. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Deportivo Cuenca had 54% of the ball to Emelec's 46%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 0.41 to 0.56.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Emelec lead the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Deportivo Cuenca and 2.00 for Emelec.

What was the final score of Deportivo Cuenca vs Emelec?

Deportivo Cuenca 1-2 Emelec in the Ecuador - Premier on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Cuenca vs Emelec?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Cuenca win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Cuenca 41%, draw 29%, Emelec 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Deportivo Cuenca), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Cuenca) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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