Tecnico Universitario 1-3 Cuniburo FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
23%
3.04
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.62
Over 2.5
48%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+1.3pp
23%
Draw
29%
-6.1pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+4.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
58%
-6.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
42%
+6.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.6pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tecnico Universitario EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Cuniburo FC EU Bookmakers 32%
-8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-17% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
287 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.5 Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tecnico Universitario
1-3
AWAY Cuniburo FC
1.66 xG 1.81
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
439 Passes 246
87% Pass Accuracy 80%
31 Box Touches 17
25 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tecnico Universitario vs Cuniburo FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cuniburo FC saw off Tecnico Universitario 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Tecnico Universitario at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Tecnico Universitario had 63% of the ball to Cuniburo FC's 37%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 1.66 to 1.81.

What was the final score of Tecnico Universitario vs Cuniburo FC?

Tecnico Universitario 1-3 Cuniburo FC in the Ecuador - Premier on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tecnico Universitario vs Cuniburo FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tecnico Universitario win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Tecnico Universitario 44%, draw 23%, Cuniburo FC 33%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tecnico Universitario) ✗ Under 2.5
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