Annagh United 1-0 Warrenpoint Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 3 Mar 2026

📅03/03/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.1
Over 2.5
47%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.85
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
2.9
6+ Goals
6%
9.02
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.85 — our 31% vs market 19.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
46%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
4%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
57%
-4.0pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+2.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.1pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Annagh United EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Warrenpoint Town EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.78/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.36/1.91
-10% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -72% / +1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
346 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Annagh United
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Warrenpoint Town
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.04.2023 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town 2-1 HT 1-1 Annagh United Annagh United KİRL1
18.02.2023 Annagh United Annagh United 0-1 HT 0-1 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town KİRL1
12.11.2022 Annagh United Annagh United 1-1 HT 1-0 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town KİRL1
23.09.2022 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Annagh United Annagh United KİRL1
POST-MATCH Annagh United vs Warrenpoint Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Annagh United squeezed past Warrenpoint Town 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Annagh United as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Warrenpoint Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Annagh United and 1.25 for Warrenpoint Town.

What was the final score of Annagh United vs Warrenpoint Town?

Annagh United 1-0 Warrenpoint Town in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 03/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Annagh United vs Warrenpoint Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Annagh United win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Annagh United 53%, draw 26%, Warrenpoint Town 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Annagh United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Annagh United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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