Institute FC 2-0 Loughgall FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 3 Mar 2026

Institute FC
2-0 HT 1-0
Loughgall FC
📅03/03/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
North Ireland - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Institute FC vs Loughgall FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.99
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.31
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.21
6+ Goals
13%
11.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.31 — our 26% vs market 23.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
25%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
30%
+5.4pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.7pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-1.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.7pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Institute FC v Loughgall FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Institute FC EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Loughgall FC EU Bookmakers 49%
-12% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.44/1.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/0.94
+4% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +36%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
328 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.2

Institute FC vs Loughgall FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Institute FC
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Loughgall FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.08.2025 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
14.01.2025 Institute FC Institute FC 2-3 HT 0-2 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRK
10.12.2022 Institute FC Institute FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL1
01.10.2022 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
12.02.2022 Institute FC Institute FC 2-3 HT 0-1 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL1
20.11.2021 Institute FC Institute FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL1
POST-MATCH Institute FC vs Loughgall FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Institute FC got the better of Loughgall FC 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Loughgall FC at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Loughgall FC led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Institute FC and 2.00 for Loughgall FC.

What was the final score of Institute FC vs Loughgall FC?

Institute FC 2-0 Loughgall FC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 03/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Institute FC vs Loughgall FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Loughgall FC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Institute FC 35%, draw 22%, Loughgall FC 43%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Loughgall FC), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Loughgall FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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