Loughgall FC 2-0 Institute FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 8 Aug 2025

📅08/08/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
21%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.21
Over 2.5
49%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.25
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
2.78
6+ Goals
10%
7.87
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.25 — our 29% vs market 17.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
53%
+4.0pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.3pp
21%
Away Win
23%
-1.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.8pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Loughgall FC EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Institute FC EU Bookmakers 26%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +8%
2.38/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.90
+18% / +64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
384 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Loughgall FC
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Institute FC
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.01.2025 Institute FC Institute FC 2-3 HT 0-2 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRK
10.12.2022 Institute FC Institute FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL1
01.10.2022 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
12.02.2022 Institute FC Institute FC 2-3 HT 0-1 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL1
20.11.2021 Institute FC Institute FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL1
10.01.2015 Institute FC Institute FC 5-1 HT 1-1 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRK
POST-MATCH Loughgall FC vs Institute FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Loughgall FC got the better of Institute FC 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Loughgall FC as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Loughgall FC had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Loughgall FC and 1.67 for Institute FC.

What was the final score of Loughgall FC vs Institute FC?

Loughgall FC 2-0 Institute FC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 08/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Loughgall FC vs Institute FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Loughgall FC win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Loughgall FC 57%, draw 21%, Institute FC 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Loughgall FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Loughgall FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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