Polonya (K) 2-2 Hollanda (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Women's World Cup, 3 Mar 2026

Polonya (K)
2-2 HT 1-1
Hollanda (K)
📅03/03/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Women's World Cup – 2027

Polonya (K) vs Hollanda (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.91
Draw
31%
4.34
Away
49%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.15
Over 2.5
45%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.88
No
44%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
6%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
37%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
14%
+6.4pp
31%
Draw
20%
+10.9pp
49%
Away Win
66%
-17.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
43%
+12.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
57%
-12.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
49%
+7.4pp
44%
BTTS No
51%
-7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Polonya (K) v Hollanda (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polonya (K) EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Hollanda (K) EU Bookmakers 70%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -2%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
222 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 457 · 86%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Polonya (K) vs Hollanda (K) Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Polonya (K)
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Hollanda (K)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.10 xG 1.43
36% Ball Possession 64%
6 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
190 Passes 390
66% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 27
4 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
24.10.2025 Polonya (K) Polonya (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Hollanda (K) Hollanda (K) HAZ
04.03.2019 Hollanda (K) Hollanda (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 Polonya (K) Polonya (K) Dünya - Kadınlar Algarve Kupası

Polonya (K) 2-2 Hollanda (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Polonya (K)
2-2
AWAY Hollanda (K)
2.71 xG 1.84
39% Ball Possession 61%
19 Total Shots 19
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 10
206 Passes 364
69% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 44
10 Crosses 26
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Polonya (K) vs Hollanda (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polonya (K) and Hollanda (K) shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Hollanda (K) at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Polonya (K) had 39% of the ball to Hollanda (K)'s 61%, shots finished 19-19, expected goals 2.71 to 1.84.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Polonya (K) had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Polonya (K) and 0.00 for Hollanda (K).

What was the final score of Polonya (K) vs Hollanda (K)?

Polonya (K) 2-2 Hollanda (K) in the Women's World Cup on 03/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polonya (K) vs Hollanda (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hollanda (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Polonya (K) 20%, draw 31%, Hollanda (K) 49%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hollanda (K)), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hollanda (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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