Portekiz (K) 2-0 Finlandiya (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Women's World Cup, 3 Mar 2026

📅03/03/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
23%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.75
Over 2.5
54%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.81
No
41%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2.82
2-3 Goals
43%
1.7
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
23%
3.68
6+ Goals
13%
16.15
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.68 — our 23% vs market 20.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
44%
+5.5pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.1pp
23%
Away Win
28%
-5.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
53%
-7.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
47%
+7.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
51%
+7.5pp
41%
BTTS No
49%
-7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portekiz (K) EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Finlandiya (K) EU Bookmakers 32%
+42% / +42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+24% / -54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
296 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
36.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
26.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portekiz (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Finlandiya (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.31 xG 0.71
57% Ball Possession 43%
5 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 1
412 Passes 284
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 25
20 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
19.02.2021 Finlandiya (K) Finlandiya (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Portekiz (K) Portekiz (K) ABK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portekiz (K)
2-0
AWAY Finlandiya (K)
1.62 xG 1.15
69% Ball Possession 31%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 2
501 Passes 194
85% Pass Accuracy 72%
28 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Portekiz (K) vs Finlandiya (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portekiz (K) beat Finlandiya (K) 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Portekiz (K) as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Portekiz (K) had 69% of the ball to Finlandiya (K)'s 31%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.62 to 1.15.

What was the final score of Portekiz (K) vs Finlandiya (K)?

Portekiz (K) 2-0 Finlandiya (K) in the Women's World Cup on 03/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portekiz (K) vs Finlandiya (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portekiz (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Portekiz (K) 49%, draw 28%, Finlandiya (K) 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Portekiz (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Portekiz (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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