Zürich 0-0 Winterthur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 3 Apr 2024

📅03/04/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.82
Over 2.5
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.25
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.62
6+ Goals
9%
14.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.25 — our 29% vs market 25.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.28
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.0
X/1
12%
4.08
X/2
10%
9.26
X/X
11%
4.71
2/1
7%
24.85
2/2
14%
7.25
2/X
8%
14.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-6.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+7.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-2.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+2.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.5pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zürich EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Winterthur EU Bookmakers 24%
-4% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
1.65/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.47
-17% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
322 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 76%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
19.8 Crosses 11.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zürich
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Winterthur
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.17 xG 1.05
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
335 Passes 265
75% Pass Accuracy 70%
26 Box Touches 20
26 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 3
28.02.2024 Zürich Zürich 0-2 HT 0-0 Winterthur Winterthur İSVK
13.12.2023 Winterthur Winterthur 2-1 HT 1-1 Zürich Zürich İSV
07.10.2023 Zürich Zürich 3-2 HT 2-1 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
25.05.2023 Winterthur Winterthur 0-2 HT 0-2 Zürich Zürich İSV
12.02.2023 Zürich Zürich 1-1 HT 1-1 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
09.10.2022 Zürich Zürich 0-0 HT 0-0 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zürich
0-0
AWAY Winterthur
0.87 xG 1.39
56% Ball Possession 44%
21 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
372 Passes 265
76% Pass Accuracy 71%
30 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Zürich vs Winterthur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zürich and Winterthur played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Zürich at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Zürich had 56% of the ball to Winterthur's 44%, shots finished 21-15, expected goals 0.87 to 1.39.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Zürich and 1.17 for Winterthur.

What was the final score of Zürich vs Winterthur?

Zürich 0-0 Winterthur in the Switzerland - Super League on 03/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zürich vs Winterthur?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zürich win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Zürich 47%, draw 25%, Winterthur 28%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Zürich), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zürich) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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