Zürich 0-2 Winterthur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Cup, 28 Feb 2024

📅28/02/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
30%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.58
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.35
6+ Goals
12%
12.25
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.35 — our 25% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.32
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.75
X/1
11%
4.18
X/2
10%
8.83
X/X
11%
4.99
2/1
8%
23.6
2/2
11%
6.63
2/X
8%
14.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-7.3pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.1pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+7.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.5pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zürich EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Winterthur EU Bookmakers 26%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -35% / -35%
1.97/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.73
-16% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
370 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zürich
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Winterthur
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.20 xG 1.01
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
348 Passes 275
76% Pass Accuracy 71%
24 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 3
13.12.2023 Winterthur Winterthur 2-1 HT 1-1 Zürich Zürich İSV
07.10.2023 Zürich Zürich 3-2 HT 2-1 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
25.05.2023 Winterthur Winterthur 0-2 HT 0-2 Zürich Zürich İSV
12.02.2023 Zürich Zürich 1-1 HT 1-1 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
09.10.2022 Zürich Zürich 0-0 HT 0-0 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
14.08.2022 Winterthur Winterthur 1-1 HT 0-0 Zürich Zürich İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zürich
0-2
AWAY Winterthur
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Zürich vs Winterthur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Winterthur saw off Zürich 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Zürich at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Zürich had 53% of the ball to Winterthur's 47%, shots finished 19-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zürich had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Zürich and 1.00 for Winterthur.

What was the final score of Zürich vs Winterthur?

Zürich 0-2 Winterthur in the Switzerland - Cup on 28/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zürich vs Winterthur?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zürich win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Zürich 45%, draw 25%, Winterthur 30%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Zürich) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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