Zira 2-1 Qabala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Cup, 3 Apr 2024

Zira
2-1 HT 0-0
Qabala
📅03/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Azerbaijan - Cup – 2023/2024

Zira vs Qabala Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.53
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
16%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.62
Over 2.5
39%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
2.29
No
67%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
3%
X/X
14%
2/1
3%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
61%
+1.9pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.6pp
16%
Away Win
15%
+0.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
58%
+3.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
42%
-3.5pp
33%
BTTS Yes
40%
-7.0pp
67%
BTTS No
60%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Zira v Qabala — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zira EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Qabala EU Bookmakers 18%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
2.47/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.82
+18% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -15%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
410 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Zira vs Qabala Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zira
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Qabala
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
59% Ball Possession 41%
8 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
04.02.2024 Qabala Qabala 1-1 HT 1-1 Zira Zira AZERS
12.11.2023 Zira Zira 1-0 HT 0-0 Qabala Qabala AZERS
02.09.2023 Qabala Qabala 1-0 HT 1-0 Zira Zira AZERS
07.04.2023 Qabala Qabala 2-1 HT 0-0 Zira Zira AZERS
05.02.2023 Zira Zira 2-2 HT 1-1 Qabala Qabala AZERS
05.11.2022 Qabala Qabala 1-0 HT 0-0 Zira Zira AZERS
POST-MATCH Zira vs Qabala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zira nicked a narrow win over Qabala 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Zira as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (67%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Qabala led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Zira and 1.17 for Qabala.

What was the final score of Zira vs Qabala?

Zira 2-1 Qabala in the Azerbaijan - Cup on 03/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zira vs Qabala?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zira win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Zira 63%, draw 21%, Qabala 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zira) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zira) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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