Qabala 1-1 Zira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 4 Feb 2024

Qabala
1-1 HT 1-1
Zira
📅04/02/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Azerbaijan - Super League – 2023/2024

Qabala vs Zira Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.29
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.48
Over 2.5
29%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.16
No
68%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
12%
X/X
21%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
27%
-0.8pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.1pp
42%
Away Win
44%
-1.3pp
71%
Under 2.5
64%
+7.3pp
29%
Over 2.5
36%
-7.3pp
32%
BTTS Yes
42%
-10.2pp
68%
BTTS No
58%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Qabala v Zira — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qabala EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Zira EU Bookmakers 48%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
0.76/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/0.63
-32% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +82%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
252 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.1

Qabala vs Zira Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Qabala
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Zira
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
12.11.2023 Zira Zira 1-0 HT 0-0 Qabala Qabala AZERS
02.09.2023 Qabala Qabala 1-0 HT 1-0 Zira Zira AZERS
07.04.2023 Qabala Qabala 2-1 HT 0-0 Zira Zira AZERS
05.02.2023 Zira Zira 2-2 HT 1-1 Qabala Qabala AZERS
05.11.2022 Qabala Qabala 1-0 HT 0-0 Zira Zira AZERS
04.09.2022 Zira Zira 2-1 HT 1-1 Qabala Qabala AZERS
POST-MATCH Qabala vs Zira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Qabala and Zira shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Zira at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (71%) landed while no to both teams scoring (68%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Qabala had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Qabala and 1.00 for Zira.

What was the final score of Qabala vs Zira?

Qabala 1-1 Zira in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qabala vs Zira?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zira win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Qabala 26%, draw 31%, Zira 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Zira), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zira) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
4 Feb 2024
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