Al Najma 2-4 Al Hala Muharraq — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 3 Apr 2024

Al Najma
2-4 HT 1-1
Al Hala Muharraq
📅03/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Bahrain - Premier League – 2025/2026

Al Najma vs Al Hala Muharraq Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
37%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.5
2-3 Goals
36%
1.8
4-5 Goals
28%
3.41
6+ Goals
9%
12.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.5 — our 27% vs market 23.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-3.6pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.5pp
38%
Away Win
30%
+7.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.3pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Najma v Al Hala Muharraq — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Najma EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Hala Muharraq EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -5%
1.35/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.19
-9% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
389 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.1

Al Najma vs Al Hala Muharraq Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Najma
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Hala Muharraq
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.10.2023 Al Hala Muharraq Al Hala Muharraq 0-5 HT 0-2 Al Najma Al Najma BAH
15.04.2022 Al Najma Al Najma 2-3 HT 1-2 Al Hala Muharraq Al Hala Muharraq BAH
11.09.2021 Al Hala Muharraq Al Hala Muharraq 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Najma Al Najma BAH
19.10.2020 Al Hala Muharraq Al Hala Muharraq 1-2 HT 1-2 Al Najma Al Najma BAH
POST-MATCH Al Najma vs Al Hala Muharraq
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Hala Muharraq beat Al Najma 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 23% / 38%) promised a tight game; Al Hala Muharraq found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Al Najma had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Al Najma and 1.25 for Al Hala Muharraq.

What was the final score of Al Najma vs Al Hala Muharraq?

Al Najma 2-4 Al Hala Muharraq in the Bahrain - Premier League on 03/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Najma vs Al Hala Muharraq?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Najma win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Al Najma 40%, draw 23%, Al Hala Muharraq 38%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Najma), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Najma) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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