Muharraq 1-1 Al Riffa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 3 Apr 2024

📅03/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
39%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.92
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.0
6+ Goals
10%
18.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-4.3pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.2pp
39%
Away Win
32%
+6.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.9pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Muharraq EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Riffa EU Bookmakers 36%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.42/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/0.99
-1% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +26%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
334 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Muharraq
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Al Riffa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.12.2023 Al Riffa Al Riffa 1-1 HT 0-0 Muharraq Muharraq BAHKK
08.10.2023 Al Riffa Al Riffa 3-2 HT 0-2 Muharraq Muharraq BAH
24.02.2023 Muharraq Muharraq 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
24.02.2023 Al Riffa Al Riffa 0-0 HT 0-0 Muharraq Muharraq BAH
03.02.2023 Muharraq Muharraq 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAHKK
14.12.2022 Al Riffa Al Riffa 0-3 HT 0-2 Muharraq Muharraq BAH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Muharraq
1-1
AWAY Al Riffa
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Muharraq vs Al Riffa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Muharraq and Al Riffa shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Muharraq had 49% of the ball to Al Riffa's 51%, shots finished 6-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Muharraq and 0.67 for Al Riffa.

What was the final score of Muharraq vs Al Riffa?

Muharraq 1-1 Al Riffa in the Bahrain - Premier League on 03/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Muharraq vs Al Riffa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Riffa win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Muharraq 36%, draw 26%, Al Riffa 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Riffa), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Riffa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BAH More Bahrain - Premier League
3 Apr 2024
21:45 Manama vs East Riffa Analysis →
21:45 Al Najma vs Al Hala Muharraq Analysis →