PSG 1-0 Rennes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 3 Apr 2024

PSG
1-0 HT 1-0
Rennes
📅03/04/2024 · 🕒22:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.37
Draw
28%
4.49
Away
24%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.33
Over Pick
56%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.82
No
46%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
23%
4.79
2-3
36%
1.93
4-5
30%
2.81
6+
11%
7.69
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.65
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
18.75
X/1
9%
3.64
X/2
10%
15.3
X/X
13%
7.09
2/1
6%
21.2
2/2
8%
11.5
2/X
8%
19.2
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSG The Market 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Rennes The Market 16%
+8% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
2.26/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.20
+3% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +81%
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
477 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 76%
37.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
14.1 Crosses 17.2
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSG
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Rennes
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.75 xG 1.02
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
590 Passes 310
90% Pass Accuracy 82%
29 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.02.2024 PSG PSG 1-1 HT 0-1 Rennes Rennes FR1
08.10.2023 Rennes Rennes 1-3 HT 0-2 PSG PSG FR1
19.03.2023 PSG PSG 0-2 HT 0-1 Rennes Rennes FR1
15.01.2023 Rennes Rennes 1-0 HT 0-0 PSG PSG FR1
11.02.2022 PSG PSG 1-0 HT 0-0 Rennes Rennes FR1
03.10.2021 Rennes Rennes 2-0 HT 1-0 PSG PSG FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSG
1-0
AWAY Rennes
1.60 xG 0.66
70% Ball Possession 30%
10 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
753 Passes 287
91% Pass Accuracy 82%
39 Box Touches 16
7 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW PSG vs Rennes
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

PSG came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Rennes 1-0.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had PSG as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

By the numbers, possession split 70% to 30% in PSG's favour, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 1.60 to 0.66.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rennes led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.83 a game for PSG against 1.17 for Rennes.

PSG vs Rennes Result & Final Score

PSG 1-0 Rennes in the France - Cup on 03/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

PSG vs Rennes Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a PSG win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split PSG 48%, draw 28%, Rennes 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSG) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PSG) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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