PSG 1-1 Rennes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 25 Feb 2024

PSG
1-1 HT 0-1
Rennes
📅25/02/2024 · 🕒19:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2023/2024

PSG vs Rennes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.34
Draw
20%
4.81
Away
22%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.61
Over 2.5
54%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
6.05
2-3 Goals
39%
2.08
4-5 Goals
28%
2.56
6+ Goals
11%
5.69
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.56
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
19.95
X/1
24%
3.7
X/2
5%
16.9
X/X
9%
8.31
2/1
7%
19.8
2/2
13%
11.7
2/X
6%
19.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
70%
-12.0pp
20%
Draw
18%
+2.7pp
22%
Away Win
13%
+9.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
35%
+11.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
65%
-11.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.9pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

PSG v Rennes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSG EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Rennes EU Bookmakers 16%
-4% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +20%
2.16/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.39
+25% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +53%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
505 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 77%
32.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
14.4 Crosses 15.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.4

PSG vs Rennes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSG
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Rennes
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.71 xG 1.05
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
570 Passes 321
90% Pass Accuracy 83%
29 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.10.2023 Rennes Rennes 1-3 HT 0-2 PSG PSG FR1
19.03.2023 PSG PSG 0-2 HT 0-1 Rennes Rennes FR1
15.01.2023 Rennes Rennes 1-0 HT 0-0 PSG PSG FR1
11.02.2022 PSG PSG 1-0 HT 0-0 Rennes Rennes FR1
03.10.2021 Rennes Rennes 2-0 HT 1-0 PSG PSG FR1
09.05.2021 Rennes Rennes 1-1 HT 0-1 PSG PSG FR1

PSG 1-1 Rennes — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSG
1-1
AWAY Rennes
1.87 xG 0.81
66% Ball Possession 34%
15 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 0
618 Passes 278
89% Pass Accuracy 76%
31 Box Touches 7
19 Crosses 1
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH PSG vs Rennes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSG and Rennes couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had PSG at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, PSG had 66% of the ball to Rennes's 34%, shots finished 15-3, expected goals 1.87 to 0.81.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rennes led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for PSG and 1.17 for Rennes.

What was the final score of PSG vs Rennes?

PSG 1-1 Rennes in the France - Ligue 1 on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSG vs Rennes?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSG win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split PSG 58%, draw 20%, Rennes 22%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (PSG) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FR1 More France - Ligue 1
25 Feb 2024
15:00 Lens vs Monaco Analysis →
17:00 Le Havre vs Reims Analysis →
17:00 Toulouse vs Lille Analysis →
17:00 Nice vs Clermont Analysis →
22:45 Marsilya vs Montpellier Analysis →