Le Havre 1-2 Reims — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 25 Feb 2024

Le Havre
1-2 HT 0-0
Reims
📅25/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2023/2024

Le Havre vs Reims Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
42%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.0
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
3.89
6+ Goals
11%
17.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.0 — our 32% vs market 27.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.77
1/2
7%
27.5
1/X
7%
13.6
X/1
9%
6.44
X/2
11%
4.75
X/X
12%
4.34
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
23%
3.1
2/X
8%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+1.0pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.6pp
42%
Away Win
42%
-0.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.6pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Le Havre v Reims — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Le Havre EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Reims EU Bookmakers 46%
+8% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.42/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.41
+107% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +27%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
320 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 80%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
14.7 Crosses 17.8
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.9

Le Havre vs Reims Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Le Havre
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Reims
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.25 xG 1.20
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
256 Passes 361
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 30
14 Crosses 34
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
20.12.2023 Reims Reims 1-0 HT 1-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR1
30.04.2018 Reims Reims 0-1 HT 0-1 Le Havre Le Havre FR2
06.11.2017 Le Havre Le Havre 0-0 HT 0-0 Reims Reims FR2
31.03.2017 Le Havre Le Havre 1-1 HT 1-0 Reims Reims FR2
28.10.2016 Reims Reims 1-0 HT 1-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR2
09.08.2016 Reims Reims 2-5 HT 1-0 Le Havre Le Havre FRLK

Le Havre 1-2 Reims — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Le Havre
1-2
AWAY Reims
1.75 xG 3.36
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
318 Passes 316
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Box Touches 27
31 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Le Havre vs Reims
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Reims nicked a narrow win over Le Havre 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Reims as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Le Havre had 51% of the ball to Reims's 49%, shots finished 17-16, expected goals 1.75 to 3.36 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Reims's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Le Havre and 0.83 for Reims.

What was the final score of Le Havre vs Reims?

Le Havre 1-2 Reims in the France - Ligue 1 on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Le Havre vs Reims?

Before kick-off our model rated an Reims win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Le Havre 31%, draw 27%, Reims 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Reims) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Reims) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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