Toulouse vs Lille Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Toulouse v Lille — Team-Based Signals
Toulouse vs Lille Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Toulouse
FR1
0-2
HT 0-0
Lille
FR1
2-1
HT 1-0
Toulouse
FR1
3-0
HT 2-0
Toulouse
FR1
2-1
HT 0-0
Lille
FR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Lille
FR1
Toulouse 3-1 Lille — Actual Match Statistics
Toulouse beat Lille 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 32% / 35% — and on the day Toulouse made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Toulouse had 32% of the ball to Lille's 68%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 2.16 to 0.59.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lille led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Toulouse and 1.50 for Lille.
What was the final score of Toulouse vs Lille?
Toulouse 3-1 Lille in the France - Ligue 1 on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Toulouse vs Lille?
Before kick-off our model rated an Lille win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Toulouse 33%, draw 32%, Lille 35%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.