Nice 0-0 Clermont — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.47
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
18%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.99
No
48%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.4
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.49
6+ Goals
12%
13.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1.8
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
18.5
X/1
23%
3.49
X/2
5%
13.3
X/X
10%
5.71
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
24.0
2/2
7%
11.2
2/X
8%
19.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.0 — our 9% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
64%
-7.8pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.5pp
18%
Away Win
15%
+3.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
46%
+5.5pp
48%
BTTS No
54%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nice EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Clermont EU Bookmakers 18%
-8% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / -1%
1.61/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/2.04
-33% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -7%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
494 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 80%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
21.9 Crosses 13.6
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nice
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Clermont
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.29 xG 0.89
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
450 Passes 386
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.10.2023 Clermont Clermont 0-1 HT 0-0 Nice Nice FR1
23.04.2023 Nice Nice 1-2 HT 1-1 Clermont Clermont FR1
21.08.2022 Clermont Clermont 1-0 HT 1-0 Nice Nice FR1
06.02.2022 Nice Nice 0-1 HT 0-0 Clermont Clermont FR1
21.11.2021 Clermont Clermont 1-2 HT 1-0 Nice Nice FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nice
0-0
AWAY Clermont
1.58 xG 1.98
57% Ball Possession 43%
23 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 1
475 Passes 330
87% Pass Accuracy 79%
39 Box Touches 20
28 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nice vs Clermont
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nice and Clermont played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

This one beat our numbers. Nice carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Nice had 57% of the ball to Clermont's 43%, shots finished 23-13, expected goals 1.58 to 1.98.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Clermont led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Nice and 1.00 for Clermont.

What was the final score of Nice vs Clermont?

Nice 0-0 Clermont in the France - Ligue 1 on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nice vs Clermont?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nice win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Nice 56%, draw 26%, Clermont 18%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nice) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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