Golden Arrows 2-2 SuperSport United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 3 Apr 2024

📅03/04/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.32
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
40%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.33
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
5.21
6+ Goals
9%
32.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
26%
+4.4pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.9pp
40%
Away Win
45%
-5.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.7pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Golden Arrows EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY SuperSport United EU Bookmakers 49%
-4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -17%
0.91/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.26
-1% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -30%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
236 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.7
16.9 Crosses 27.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Golden Arrows
3W-1D-2L
AWAY SuperSport United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.77 xG 1.32
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
406 Passes 297
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
29.08.2023 SuperSport United SuperSport United 0-3 HT 0-1 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows GAFPSL
05.03.2023 SuperSport United SuperSport United 2-1 HT 1-0 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows GAFPSL
07.01.2023 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows 2-1 HT 2-0 SuperSport United SuperSport United GAFPSL
02.04.2022 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows 3-2 HT 1-2 SuperSport United SuperSport United GAFPSL
25.08.2021 SuperSport United SuperSport United 3-1 HT 1-0 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows GAFPSL
14.08.2021 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows 2-2 HT 0-0 SuperSport United SuperSport United GAF8K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Golden Arrows
2-2
AWAY SuperSport United
0.72 xG 0.93
61% Ball Possession 39%
6 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 5
391 Passes 200
78% Pass Accuracy 65%
12 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Golden Arrows vs SuperSport United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Golden Arrows and SuperSport United couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (31% / 29% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Golden Arrows had 61% of the ball to SuperSport United's 39%, shots finished 6-12, expected goals 0.72 to 0.93.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Golden Arrows had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Golden Arrows and 1.67 for SuperSport United.

What was the final score of Golden Arrows vs SuperSport United?

Golden Arrows 2-2 SuperSport United in the South Afrika - Premier League on 03/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Golden Arrows vs SuperSport United?

Before kick-off our model rated an SuperSport United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Golden Arrows 31%, draw 29%, SuperSport United 40%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (SuperSport United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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