Metta / LU Riga vs BFC Daugavpils Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Metta / LU Riga v BFC Daugavpils — Team-Based Signals
Metta / LU Riga vs BFC Daugavpils Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-2
HT 1-2
Metta / LU Riga
LET
0-0
HT 0-0
BFC Daugavpils
LET
1-1
HT 0-0
Metta / LU Riga
LET
3-2
HT 2-1
BFC Daugavpils
LET
2-3
HT 0-1
BFC Daugavpils
LET
3-2
HT 2-2
Metta / LU Riga
LET
Metta / LU Riga 0-1 BFC Daugavpils — Actual Match Statistics
BFC Daugavpils squeezed past Metta / LU Riga 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Metta / LU Riga at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Metta / LU Riga had 59% of the ball to BFC Daugavpils's 41%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 0.62 to 0.81.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, BFC Daugavpils led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Metta / LU Riga and 2.17 for BFC Daugavpils.
What was the final score of Metta / LU Riga vs BFC Daugavpils?
Metta / LU Riga 0-1 BFC Daugavpils in the Latvia - Virsliga on 03/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Metta / LU Riga vs BFC Daugavpils?
Before kick-off our model rated a Metta / LU Riga win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Metta / LU Riga 42%, draw 23%, BFC Daugavpils 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Metta / LU Riga) went the other way.