Rigas Skola 5-1 FS Jelgava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 3 Apr 2024

📅03/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.16
Draw
20%
7.13
Away
14%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.59
Over 2.5
57%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.75
No
57%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
82%
-15.5pp
19%
Draw
11%
+8.2pp
14%
Away Win
7%
+7.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
35%
+7.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
65%
-7.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
32%
+10.4pp
57%
BTTS No
68%
-10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rigas Skola EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY FS Jelgava EU Bookmakers 9%
-4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
2.84/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/2.54
+5% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / +13%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
410 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 70%
44.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
29.2 Crosses 15.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rigas Skola
6W-0D-0L
AWAY FS Jelgava
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.42 xG 0.60
63% Ball Possession 37%
20 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
422 Passes 192
82% Pass Accuracy 66%
43 Box Touches 14
32 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.09.2023 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 0-1 HT 0-1 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
16.07.2023 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 0-3 HT 0-1 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LETK
04.07.2023 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 1-0 HT 0-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
13.05.2023 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 4-0 HT 2-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
01.04.2023 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 0-2 HT 0-1 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
25.10.2020 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 1-0 HT 1-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rigas Skola
5-1
AWAY FS Jelgava
2.71 xG 0.43
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 8
559 Passes 246
87% Pass Accuracy 71%
31 Box Touches 9
12 Crosses 20
POST-MATCH Rigas Skola vs FS Jelgava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rigas Skola ran out comfortable winners over FS Jelgava 5-1. Half-time: 4-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Rigas Skola as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Rigas Skola had 64% of the ball to FS Jelgava's 36%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 2.71 to 0.43.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rigas Skola had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Rigas Skola and 0.00 for FS Jelgava.

What was the final score of Rigas Skola vs FS Jelgava?

Rigas Skola 5-1 FS Jelgava in the Latvia - Virsliga on 03/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rigas Skola vs FS Jelgava?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rigas Skola win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Rigas Skola 66%, draw 19%, FS Jelgava 14%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rigas Skola), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rigas Skola) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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