Budapest Vasas 2-5 Paksi SE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - Cup, 3 Apr 2024

📅03/04/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.17
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
47%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.94
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals
28%
3.15
6+ Goals
10%
10.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
22%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
28%
+0.9pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.0pp
47%
Away Win
46%
+1.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.7pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Budapest Vasas EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Paksi SE EU Bookmakers 50%
+52% / +52% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/0.92
+100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +35%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
263 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Budapest Vasas
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Paksi SE
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.03.2023 Budapest Vasas Budapest Vasas 2-3 HT 0-1 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
01.03.2023 Paksi SE Paksi SE 2-3 HT 1-2 Budapest Vasas Budapest Vasas MACK
29.10.2022 Paksi SE Paksi SE 0-1 HT 0-1 Budapest Vasas Budapest Vasas MAC
05.08.2022 Budapest Vasas Budapest Vasas 2-2 HT 2-1 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
05.05.2018 Budapest Vasas Budapest Vasas 0-1 HT 0-0 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
02.12.2017 Paksi SE Paksi SE 3-1 HT 0-0 Budapest Vasas Budapest Vasas MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Budapest Vasas
2-5
AWAY Paksi SE
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Budapest Vasas vs Paksi SE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paksi SE cruised past Budapest Vasas 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Paksi SE as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Budapest Vasas had 51% of the ball to Paksi SE's 49%, shots finished 12-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paksi SE led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Budapest Vasas and 1.83 for Paksi SE.

What was the final score of Budapest Vasas vs Paksi SE?

Budapest Vasas 2-5 Paksi SE in the Hungary - Cup on 03/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Budapest Vasas vs Paksi SE?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paksi SE win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Budapest Vasas 29%, draw 24%, Paksi SE 47%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paksi SE), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Paksi SE) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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