Diosgyor 0-2 Ferencvaros — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - Cup, 3 Apr 2024

📅03/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.87
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
50%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.42
2-3 Goals
43%
1.89
4-5 Goals
22%
2.94
6+ Goals
11%
8.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
22%
+7.8pp
20%
Draw
23%
-3.5pp
50%
Away Win
54%
-4.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.1pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Diosgyor EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Ferencvaros EU Bookmakers 58%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/0.66
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / +47%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
266 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Diosgyor
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Ferencvaros
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.63 xG 1.95
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
346 Passes 371
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
23 Box Touches 34
16 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 3
22.10.2023 Diosgyor Diosgyor 1-2 HT 0-1 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
02.03.2021 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 1-0 HT 0-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
20.01.2021 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 0-1 HT 0-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
05.12.2020 Diosgyor Diosgyor 1-3 HT 1-2 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
07.06.2020 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 3-0 HT 0-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
15.12.2019 Diosgyor Diosgyor 0-1 HT 0-1 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Diosgyor
0-2
AWAY Ferencvaros
34% Ball Possession 66%
2 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Diosgyor vs Ferencvaros
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ferencvaros saw off Diosgyor 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ferencvaros as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Diosgyor had 34% of the ball to Ferencvaros's 66%, shots finished 2-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ferencvaros led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Diosgyor and 1.67 for Ferencvaros.

What was the final score of Diosgyor vs Ferencvaros?

Diosgyor 0-2 Ferencvaros in the Hungary - Cup on 03/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Diosgyor vs Ferencvaros?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ferencvaros win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Diosgyor 30%, draw 20%, Ferencvaros 50%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ferencvaros) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ferencvaros) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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