Dorados De Sinaloa 1-3 Alebrijes de Oaxaca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 3 Apr 2024

📅03/04/2024 · 🕒06:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.78
Over 2.5
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.6pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.3pp
31%
Away Win
31%
+0.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.5pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dorados De Sinaloa EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Alebrijes de Oaxaca EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +0%
1.51/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.15
+11% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
305 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dorados De Sinaloa
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
57% Ball Possession 43%
4 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
28.09.2023 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 4-0 HT 2-0 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
26.01.2023 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 3-0 HT 3-0 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
12.10.2022 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 2-0 HT 0-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
27.03.2022 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 5-1 HT 2-0 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
09.09.2021 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 2-1 HT 0-1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
31.03.2021 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 1-1 HT 1-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
POST-MATCH Dorados De Sinaloa vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alebrijes de Oaxaca got the better of Dorados De Sinaloa 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Dorados De Sinaloa at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alebrijes de Oaxaca led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dorados De Sinaloa and 2.33 for Alebrijes de Oaxaca.

What was the final score of Dorados De Sinaloa vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?

Dorados De Sinaloa 1-3 Alebrijes de Oaxaca in the Mexico - Primera A on 03/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dorados De Sinaloa vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dorados De Sinaloa win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Dorados De Sinaloa 41%, draw 28%, Alebrijes de Oaxaca 31%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dorados De Sinaloa) ✗ BTTS No
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