Zimbru 3-0 Milsami — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - Cup, 3 Apr 2024

📅03/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.53
Draw
33%
2.88
Away
27%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.52
Over 2.5
36%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
1.99
No
64%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
24%
2/1
3%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
36%
+3.9pp
33%
Draw
31%
+2.1pp
27%
Away Win
33%
-6.0pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.8pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.8pp
36%
BTTS Yes
46%
-10.2pp
64%
BTTS No
54%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zimbru EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Milsami EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
250 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zimbru
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Milsami
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.03.2024 Milsami Milsami 0-0 HT 0-0 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
03.03.2024 Milsami Milsami 1-2 HT 0-0 Zimbru Zimbru MOLDK
07.10.2023 Milsami Milsami 1-0 HT 0-0 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
06.08.2023 Zimbru Zimbru 0-1 HT 0-0 Milsami Milsami MOLD
30.04.2023 Zimbru Zimbru 0-1 HT 0-0 Milsami Milsami MOLD
18.03.2023 Milsami Milsami 0-3 HT 0-1 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zimbru
3-0
AWAY Milsami
49% Ball Possession 51%
20 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Zimbru vs Milsami
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zimbru ran out comfortable winners over Milsami 3-0. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (40% / 33% / 27%) promised a tight game; Zimbru found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (64%) landed while under 2.5 goals (64%) missed.

On the day, Zimbru had 49% of the ball to Milsami's 51%, shots finished 20-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Milsami led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Zimbru and 0.67 for Milsami.

What was the final score of Zimbru vs Milsami?

Zimbru 3-0 Milsami in the Moldova - Cup on 03/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zimbru vs Milsami?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zimbru win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Zimbru 40%, draw 33%, Milsami 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zimbru), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zimbru) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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