Baltika Kaliningrad 0-1 CSKA Moskova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 3 Apr 2024

📅03/04/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.48
Over 2.5
45%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.13
No
54%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.17
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
19%
5.78
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.84
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.15
X/1
12%
5.78
X/2
13%
4.63
X/X
15%
3.58
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
18%
3.55
2/X
6%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+1.8pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.0pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-0.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
64%
-8.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
36%
+8.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.0pp
54%
BTTS No
57%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baltika Kaliningrad EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA Moskova EU Bookmakers 43%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.54/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/0.78
+39% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +22%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
304 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baltika Kaliningrad
0W-0D-1L
AWAY CSKA Moskova
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.37 xG 0.58
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
293 Passes 363
70% Pass Accuracy 74%
11 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
30.09.2023 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 1-0 HT 1-0 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Baltika Kaliningrad
0-1
AWAY CSKA Moskova
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Baltika Kaliningrad vs CSKA Moskova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA Moskova nicked a narrow win over Baltika Kaliningrad 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 28% / 38% — and on the day CSKA Moskova made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Baltika Kaliningrad had 53% of the ball to CSKA Moskova's 47%, shots finished 9-11.

What was the final score of Baltika Kaliningrad vs CSKA Moskova?

Baltika Kaliningrad 0-1 CSKA Moskova in the Russia - Cup on 03/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baltika Kaliningrad vs CSKA Moskova?

Before kick-off our model rated an CSKA Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Baltika Kaliningrad 34%, draw 28%, CSKA Moskova 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA Moskova), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CSKA Moskova) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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