Kızılyıldız 2-0 IMT Novi Beograd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 3 Apr 2024

📅03/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.16
Draw
18%
7.78
Away
14%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.96
Over 2.5
60%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.44
No
56%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
5%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
82%
-13.9pp
18%
Draw
10%
+7.2pp
14%
Away Win
7%
+6.7pp
40%
Under 2.5
30%
+9.6pp
60%
Over 2.5
70%
-9.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
37%
+6.6pp
56%
BTTS No
63%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kızılyıldız EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY IMT Novi Beograd EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
2.71/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.49
+36% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +126% / -2%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
435 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 75%
47.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
27.5 Crosses 18.1
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kızılyıldız
1W-0D-0L
AWAY IMT Novi Beograd
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.28 xG 0.85
62% Ball Possession 38%
24 Total Shots 7
11 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 0
491 Passes 259
87% Pass Accuracy 75%
45 Box Touches 10
30 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 2
28.10.2023 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd 1-2 HT 0-2 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kızılyıldız
2-0
AWAY IMT Novi Beograd
2.15 xG 1.08
71% Ball Possession 29%
25 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 7
552 Passes 185
88% Pass Accuracy 72%
51 Box Touches 13
26 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kızılyıldız vs IMT Novi Beograd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kızılyıldız got the better of IMT Novi Beograd 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kızılyıldız as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Kızılyıldız had 71% of the ball to IMT Novi Beograd's 29%, shots finished 25-14, expected goals 2.15 to 1.08.

What was the final score of Kızılyıldız vs IMT Novi Beograd?

Kızılyıldız 2-0 IMT Novi Beograd in the Serbia - Super League on 03/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kızılyıldız vs IMT Novi Beograd?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kızılyıldız win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Kızılyıldız 69%, draw 18%, IMT Novi Beograd 14%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kızılyıldız), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kızılyıldız) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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