Spartak Subotica 1-2 Radnicki Nis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 3 Apr 2024

📅03/04/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.52
Over 2.5
36%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.06
No
61%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+0.9pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.1pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-1.0pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.1pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-5.2pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Subotica EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Radnicki Nis EU Bookmakers 36%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +0%
1.48/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.35
+32% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
265 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 75%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
20.5 Crosses 19.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Subotica
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Radnicki Nis
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.15 xG 1.14
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
231 Passes 287
70% Pass Accuracy 73%
15 Box Touches 32
14 Crosses 30
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.10.2023 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis 1-1 HT 0-1 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
22.05.2023 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis 0-1 HT 0-1 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
19.03.2023 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 0-1 HT 0-1 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis SIRP
19.09.2022 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis 3-0 HT 1-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
07.11.2021 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis 0-0 HT 0-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
18.07.2021 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 1-1 HT 0-0 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Subotica
1-2
AWAY Radnicki Nis
0.79 xG 1.13
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
419 Passes 186
80% Pass Accuracy 63%
27 Box Touches 14
29 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Spartak Subotica vs Radnicki Nis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radnicki Nis squeezed past Spartak Subotica 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 31%) promised a tight game; Radnicki Nis found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Spartak Subotica had 64% of the ball to Radnicki Nis's 36%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 0.79 to 1.13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Radnicki Nis led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Spartak Subotica and 1.00 for Radnicki Nis.

What was the final score of Spartak Subotica vs Radnicki Nis?

Spartak Subotica 1-2 Radnicki Nis in the Serbia - Super League on 03/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Subotica vs Radnicki Nis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Subotica win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Spartak Subotica 40%, draw 29%, Radnicki Nis 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Spartak Subotica) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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