Koper 1-1 Mura — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - Cup, 3 Apr 2024

Koper
1-1 HT 0-0
Mura
📅03/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.33
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.55
6+ Goals
12%
14.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-4.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.6pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Koper EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Mura EU Bookmakers 32%
+42% / +42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -41% / -41%
2.01/0.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/2.26
+150% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -37%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
350 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Koper
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Mura
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.03.2024 Koper Koper 2-1 HT 1-0 Mura Mura SLVN
22.10.2023 Mura Mura 2-2 HT 1-0 Koper Koper SLVN
14.08.2023 Koper Koper 1-3 HT 0-1 Mura Mura SLVN
16.03.2023 Mura Mura 1-2 HT 0-0 Koper Koper SLVN
30.11.2022 Koper Koper 0-0 HT 0-0 Mura Mura SLVN
11.09.2022 Mura Mura 2-1 HT 1-0 Koper Koper SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Koper
1-1
AWAY Mura
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Koper vs Mura
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Koper and Mura couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Koper had 59% of the ball to Mura's 41%, shots finished 15-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Koper and 1.50 for Mura.

What was the final score of Koper vs Mura?

Koper 1-1 Mura in the Slovenia - Cup on 03/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Koper vs Mura?

Before kick-off our model rated a Koper win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Koper 40%, draw 28%, Mura 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Koper) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Koper) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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