Al Fateh 1-0 Al Ettifaq — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 3 Apr 2024

📅03/04/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.29
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
41%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.1
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
23%
3.06
6+ Goals
11%
9.73
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+4.5pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.7pp
41%
Away Win
49%
-7.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.2pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Fateh EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ettifaq EU Bookmakers 52%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.65/1.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/0.74
+61% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +150%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
272 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 81%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
16.6 Crosses 13.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 0.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Fateh
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Ettifaq
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.91 xG 1.05
52% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
330 Passes 292
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2023 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 1-2 HT 0-0 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
22.05.2023 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 0-4 HT 0-2 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
12.01.2023 Al Fateh Al Fateh 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq SUUD
27.02.2022 Al Fateh Al Fateh 4-0 HT 3-0 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq SUUD
30.09.2021 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
23.02.2021 Al Fateh Al Fateh 2-3 HT 1-0 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Fateh
1-0
AWAY Al Ettifaq
1.39 xG 1.41
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 4
301 Passes 239
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Al Fateh vs Al Ettifaq
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Fateh edged past Al Ettifaq 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Al Ettifaq at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Al Fateh had 55% of the ball to Al Ettifaq's 45%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.39 to 1.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Fateh had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Al Fateh and 0.67 for Al Ettifaq.

What was the final score of Al Fateh vs Al Ettifaq?

Al Fateh 1-0 Al Ettifaq in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 03/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Fateh vs Al Ettifaq?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ettifaq win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Al Fateh 32%, draw 27%, Al Ettifaq 41%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Ettifaq) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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