Al Shabab Riyadh 1-0 Al Riyadh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 3 Apr 2024

Al Shabab Riyadh
1-0 HT 1-0
Al Riyadh
📅03/04/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League – 2023/2024

Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Riyadh Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.43
Draw
18%
4.19
Away
24%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.03
Over 2.5
55%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.81
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
3.21
6+ Goals
11%
11.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
5%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
65%
-7.5pp
19%
Draw
20%
-2.0pp
24%
Away Win
14%
+9.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
45%
-0.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
55%
+0.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.8pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Shabab Riyadh v Al Riyadh — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Shabab Riyadh EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Riyadh EU Bookmakers 17%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.65/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.29
+1% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / +9%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
387 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 72%
27.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
19.2 Crosses 16.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9

Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Riyadh Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Shabab Riyadh
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Riyadh
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.50 xG 1.35
71% Ball Possession 29%
18 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 2
504 Passes 167
91% Pass Accuracy 69%
25 Box Touches 11
31 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.10.2023 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 2-2 HT 1-0 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD

Al Shabab Riyadh 1-0 Al Riyadh — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Shabab Riyadh
1-0
AWAY Al Riyadh
1.49 xG 1.10
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
505 Passes 311
87% Pass Accuracy 78%
28 Box Touches 11
12 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Riyadh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Shabab Riyadh squeezed past Al Riyadh 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Shabab Riyadh as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Shabab Riyadh had 59% of the ball to Al Riyadh's 41%, shots finished 13-5, expected goals 1.49 to 1.10.

What was the final score of Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Riyadh?

Al Shabab Riyadh 1-0 Al Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 03/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Riyadh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Shabab Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Al Shabab Riyadh 58%, draw 19%, Al Riyadh 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Shabab Riyadh) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Shabab Riyadh) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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