Los Angeles FC 1-0 Inter Miami — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 3 Apr 2025

📅03/04/2025 · 🕒06:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.38
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
29%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.29
Over 2.5
48%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.49
No
50%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
4.56
2-3 Goals
42%
1.89
4-5 Goals
22%
2.73
6+ Goals
10%
7.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.56 — our 26% vs market 16.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
13%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
38%
+8.6pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.2pp
29%
Away Win
37%
-7.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
40%
+11.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
60%
-11.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
63%
-13.6pp
50%
BTTS No
37%
+13.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Los Angeles FC EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter Miami EU Bookmakers 40%
+42% / +42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
1.80/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.47
+150% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -54%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
340 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 82%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
12.6 Crosses 11.4
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Los Angeles FC
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Inter Miami
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.79 xG 1.37
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
360 Passes 290
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
27 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
04.09.2023 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 1-3 HT 0-1 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
12.03.2022 Inter Miami Inter Miami 0-2 HT 0-1 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
02.03.2020 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Los Angeles FC
1-0
AWAY Inter Miami
0.81 xG 0.50
41% Ball Possession 59%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
385 Passes 546
89% Pass Accuracy 88%
24 Box Touches 10
9 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Los Angeles FC vs Inter Miami
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Los Angeles FC nicked a narrow win over Inter Miami 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Los Angeles FC as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Los Angeles FC had 41% of the ball to Inter Miami's 59%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 0.81 to 0.50.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Los Angeles FC had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Los Angeles FC and 1.00 for Inter Miami.

What was the final score of Los Angeles FC vs Inter Miami?

Los Angeles FC 1-0 Inter Miami in the CONCACAF Champions League on 03/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Los Angeles FC vs Inter Miami?

Before kick-off our model rated a Los Angeles FC win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Los Angeles FC 47%, draw 24%, Inter Miami 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Los Angeles FC), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Los Angeles FC) ✓ Under 2.5
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