Vancouver Whitecaps 1-1 Pumas UNAM — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 3 Apr 2025

📅03/04/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
26%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.64
Over 2.5
40%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.53
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
4.27
6+ Goals
8%
22.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
44%
+1.6pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.5pp
26%
Away Win
28%
-2.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.2pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vancouver Whitecaps EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Pumas UNAM EU Bookmakers 32%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/0.99
-27% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
284 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.0
Crosses 14.0
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vancouver Whitecaps
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Pumas UNAM
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.70 xG 0.71
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
484 Passes 300
87% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 21
28 Crosses 1
1 Yellow Cards 0
08.08.2024 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 0-2 HT 0-1 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM CONLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vancouver Whitecaps
1-1
AWAY Pumas UNAM
0.77 xG 0.35
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
427 Passes 419
86% Pass Accuracy 86%
13 Box Touches 5
21 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vancouver Whitecaps vs Pumas UNAM
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vancouver Whitecaps and Pumas UNAM couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Vancouver Whitecaps at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Vancouver Whitecaps had 51% of the ball to Pumas UNAM's 49%, shots finished 7-5, expected goals 0.77 to 0.35.

What was the final score of Vancouver Whitecaps vs Pumas UNAM?

Vancouver Whitecaps 1-1 Pumas UNAM in the CONCACAF Champions League on 03/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vancouver Whitecaps vs Pumas UNAM?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vancouver Whitecaps win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Vancouver Whitecaps 46%, draw 28%, Pumas UNAM 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Vancouver Whitecaps), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vancouver Whitecaps) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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