Melgar vs Vasco da Gama Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Melgar v Vasco da Gama — Team-Based Signals
Melgar 3-3 Vasco da Gama — Actual Match Statistics
Melgar and Vasco da Gama couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Melgar at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Melgar had 66% of the ball to Vasco da Gama's 34%, shots finished 20-6, expected goals 1.82 to 0.92.
What was the final score of Melgar vs Vasco da Gama?
Melgar 3-3 Vasco da Gama in the Copa Sudamericana on 03/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Melgar vs Vasco da Gama?
Before kick-off our model rated a Melgar win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Melgar 44%, draw 28%, Vasco da Gama 28%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.