Sportivo Luqueno vs Gremio Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sportivo Luqueno v Gremio — Team-Based Signals
Sportivo Luqueno 1-2 Gremio — Actual Match Statistics
Gremio nicked a narrow win over Sportivo Luqueno 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gremio as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Sportivo Luqueno had 36% of the ball to Gremio's 64%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 0.38 to 1.16.
What was the final score of Sportivo Luqueno vs Gremio?
Sportivo Luqueno 1-2 Gremio in the Copa Sudamericana on 03/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sportivo Luqueno vs Gremio?
Before kick-off our model rated an Gremio win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Luqueno 27%, draw 31%, Gremio 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gremio) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.