Al Quwa Al Jawiya 2-1 Naft Al-Basra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 3 Apr 2025

📅03/04/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.57
Draw
32%
3.54
Away
18%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.52
Over 2.5
29%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
2.51
No
67%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
60%
-10.1pp
32%
Draw
25%
+7.2pp
18%
Away Win
15%
+2.9pp
71%
Under 2.5
62%
+9.0pp
29%
Over 2.5
38%
-9.0pp
33%
BTTS Yes
36%
-2.5pp
67%
BTTS No
64%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Quwa Al Jawiya EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Naft Al-Basra EU Bookmakers 18%
-35% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.49/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.49
-71% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +150%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
324 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Naft Al-Basra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Quwa Al Jawiya squeezed past Naft Al-Basra 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Quwa Al Jawiya as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (67%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Naft Al-Basra?

Al Quwa Al Jawiya 2-1 Naft Al-Basra in the Iraq - Premier League on 03/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Naft Al-Basra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Quwa Al Jawiya win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Al Quwa Al Jawiya 50%, draw 32%, Naft Al-Basra 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Quwa Al Jawiya) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Quwa Al Jawiya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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