CFR Cluj 1-1 Universitatea Craiova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - Cup, 3 Apr 2025

📅03/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.05
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
35%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.64
Over 2.5
39%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.56
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
4.22
6+ Goals
8%
21.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.56 — our 35% vs market 31.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
45%
-9.9pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.7pp
35%
Away Win
26%
+8.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
57%
+3.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
43%
-3.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.6pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CFR Cluj EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Universitatea Craiova EU Bookmakers 30%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -47% / -47%
1.15/1.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/2.00
-30% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / -27%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
305 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CFR Cluj
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Universitatea Craiova
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.39 xG 0.70
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
196 Passes 455
68% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 21
9 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 4
01.12.2024 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 0-2 HT 0-1 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj ROM
28.07.2024 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj 0-2 HT 0-0 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
25.04.2024 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 0-1 HT 0-0 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj ROM
16.03.2024 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj 1-2 HT 0-1 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
02.12.2023 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 1-0 HT 0-0 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj ROM
30.07.2023 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj 1-1 HT 1-1 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CFR Cluj
1-1
AWAY Universitatea Craiova
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CFR Cluj vs Universitatea Craiova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CFR Cluj and Universitatea Craiova couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 30% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, CFR Cluj had 53% of the ball to Universitatea Craiova's 47%, shots finished 19-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universitatea Craiova led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for CFR Cluj and 1.00 for Universitatea Craiova.

What was the final score of CFR Cluj vs Universitatea Craiova?

CFR Cluj 1-1 Universitatea Craiova in the Romania - Cup on 03/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CFR Cluj vs Universitatea Craiova?

Before kick-off our model rated a CFR Cluj win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split CFR Cluj 35%, draw 30%, Universitatea Craiova 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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