Universitatea Craiova 0-1 CFR Cluj — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 25 Apr 2024

📅25/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.5
No
44%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.48
2-3 Goals
37%
1.9
4-5 Goals
25%
2.92
6+ Goals
13%
8.48
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
-0.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
62%
-6.9pp
44%
BTTS No
38%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universitatea Craiova EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY CFR Cluj EU Bookmakers 40%
+6% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -19%
2.39/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.80
+31% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -5%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
323 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universitatea Craiova
3W-3D-0L
AWAY CFR Cluj
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
16.03.2024 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj 1-2 HT 0-1 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
02.12.2023 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 1-0 HT 0-0 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj ROM
30.07.2023 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj 1-1 HT 1-1 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
07.05.2023 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj 1-1 HT 0-0 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
02.04.2023 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 1-1 HT 0-0 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj ROM
11.02.2023 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 2-0 HT 0-0 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universitatea Craiova
0-1
AWAY CFR Cluj
0.99 xG 1.90
12 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Universitatea Craiova vs CFR Cluj
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CFR Cluj squeezed past Universitatea Craiova 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 37%) promised a tight game; CFR Cluj found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 12-18, expected goals 0.99 to 1.90.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universitatea Craiova had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Universitatea Craiova and 0.67 for CFR Cluj.

What was the final score of Universitatea Craiova vs CFR Cluj?

Universitatea Craiova 0-1 CFR Cluj in the Romania - 1st Division on 25/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universitatea Craiova vs CFR Cluj?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universitatea Craiova win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Universitatea Craiova 38%, draw 25%, CFR Cluj 37%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Universitatea Craiova) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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