UTA Arad 3-1 Otelul Galati — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 25 Apr 2024

📅25/04/2024 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.47
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.51
Over 2.5
47%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.03
No
50%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.28
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
5.37
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+3.0pp
27%
Draw
31%
-3.7pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+0.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
62%
-9.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
38%
+9.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
45%
+5.1pp
50%
BTTS No
55%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UTA Arad EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Otelul Galati EU Bookmakers 36%
-11% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +12%
0.90/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.53
-19% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +60% / -28%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
290 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UTA Arad
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Otelul Galati
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.11.2023 UTA Arad UTA Arad 2-4 HT 0-3 Otelul Galati Otelul Galati ROM
14.07.2023 Otelul Galati Otelul Galati 1-1 HT 0-1 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UTA Arad
3-1
AWAY Otelul Galati
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH UTA Arad vs Otelul Galati
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UTA Arad got the better of Otelul Galati 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and on the day UTA Arad made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, UTA Arad had 40% of the ball to Otelul Galati's 60%, shots finished 8-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Otelul Galati led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for UTA Arad and 2.50 for Otelul Galati.

What was the final score of UTA Arad vs Otelul Galati?

UTA Arad 3-1 Otelul Galati in the Romania - 1st Division on 25/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UTA Arad vs Otelul Galati?

Before kick-off our model rated a UTA Arad win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split UTA Arad 40%, draw 27%, Otelul Galati 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UTA Arad) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (UTA Arad) ✗ Under 2.5
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