Olimpija Ljubljana 5-2 Beltinci — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - Cup, 3 Apr 2025

📅03/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home OUR CALL
61%
1.16
Draw
19%
6.26
Away
20%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.59
Over 2.5
61%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.44
No
50%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
5.46
2-3 Goals
40%
2.01
4-5 Goals
28%
2.53
6+ Goals
14%
5.77
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Olimpija Ljubljana win — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
82%
-20.1pp
19%
Draw
13%
+6.3pp
19%
Away Win
6%
+13.8pp
39%
Under 2.5
35%
+4.0pp
61%
Over 2.5
65%
-4.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
37%
+12.9pp
50%
BTTS No
63%
-12.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Beltinci EU Bookmakers 8%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-22% / +122% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
462 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana
5-2
AWAY Beltinci
67% Ball Possession 33%
13 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Olimpija Ljubljana vs Beltinci
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olimpija Ljubljana cruised past Beltinci 5-2. Half-time: 4-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Olimpija Ljubljana as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Olimpija Ljubljana had 67% of the ball to Beltinci's 33%, shots finished 13-7.

What was the final score of Olimpija Ljubljana vs Beltinci?

Olimpija Ljubljana 5-2 Beltinci in the Slovenia - Cup on 03/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olimpija Ljubljana vs Beltinci?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olimpija Ljubljana win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Olimpija Ljubljana 61%, draw 19%, Beltinci 19%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olimpija Ljubljana), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Olimpija Ljubljana) ✓ Over 2.5
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