Beşiktaş 1-3 Göztepe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 3 Apr 2025

Beşiktaş
1-3 HT 1-1
Göztepe
📅03/04/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Turkey - Cup – 2024/2025

Beşiktaş vs Göztepe Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.35
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.41
6+ Goals
10%
12.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.41
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
9%
13.65
X/1
17%
4.47
X/2
10%
8.74
X/X
8%
4.98
2/1
6%
23.75
2/2
14%
6.79
2/X
10%
14.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
BTTS No — 51% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
52%
-7.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+6.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.8pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Beşiktaş v Göztepe — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beşiktaş EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Göztepe EU Bookmakers 26%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.27/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.11/0.28
-30% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -91% / +150%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
350 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
33.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
34.0 Crosses –
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.0

Beşiktaş vs Göztepe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beşiktaş
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Göztepe
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.28 xG 1.73
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
383 Passes 255
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
24.11.2024 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 2-4 HT 2-2 Göztepe Göztepe TSL
15.05.2022 Göztepe Göztepe 0-2 HT 0-2 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
10.02.2022 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 0-0 HT 0-0 Göztepe Göztepe TÜK
23.12.2021 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 2-1 HT 1-1 Göztepe Göztepe TSL
15.05.2021 Göztepe Göztepe 1-2 HT 1-1 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
24.01.2021 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 2-1 HT 0-1 Göztepe Göztepe TSL

Beşiktaş 1-3 Göztepe — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Beşiktaş
1-3
AWAY Göztepe
1.53 xG 2.52
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 23
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
285 Passes 281
70% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Beşiktaş vs Göztepe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Göztepe saw off Beşiktaş 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Beşiktaş at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Beşiktaş had 52% of the ball to Göztepe's 48%, shots finished 18-23, expected goals 1.53 to 2.52.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Beşiktaş had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Beşiktaş and 1.17 for Göztepe.

What was the final score of Beşiktaş vs Göztepe?

Beşiktaş 1-3 Göztepe in the Turkey - Cup on 03/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beşiktaş vs Göztepe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Beşiktaş win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Beşiktaş 44%, draw 26%, Göztepe 29%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Beşiktaş) ✗ BTTS No
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