Beşiktaş 2-4 Göztepe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 24 Nov 2024

Beşiktaş
2-4 HT 2-2
Göztepe
📅24/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2024/2025

Beşiktaş vs Göztepe Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.51
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.47
6+ Goals
11%
13.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.17
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.3
X/1
20%
3.95
X/2
8%
9.8
X/X
12%
5.27
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
23.4
2/2
6%
7.66
2/X
5%
16.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.4 — our 10% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
56%
-1.0pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.0pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+1.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.9pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Beşiktaş v Göztepe — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beşiktaş EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Göztepe EU Bookmakers 23%
-1% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -9%
1.76/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.80
-2% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
346 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
22.1 Crosses 16.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1

Beşiktaş vs Göztepe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beşiktaş
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Göztepe
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.42 xG 1.71
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
378 Passes 266
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
15.05.2022 Göztepe Göztepe 0-2 HT 0-2 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
10.02.2022 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 0-0 HT 0-0 Göztepe Göztepe TÜK
23.12.2021 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 2-1 HT 1-1 Göztepe Göztepe TSL
15.05.2021 Göztepe Göztepe 1-2 HT 1-1 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
24.01.2021 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 2-1 HT 0-1 Göztepe Göztepe TSL
26.01.2020 Göztepe Göztepe 2-1 HT 2-1 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL

Beşiktaş 2-4 Göztepe — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Beşiktaş
2-4
AWAY Göztepe
1.41 xG 2.42
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 4
396 Passes 206
76% Pass Accuracy 68%
25 Box Touches 32
28 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Beşiktaş vs Göztepe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Göztepe saw off Beşiktaş 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Beşiktaş at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Beşiktaş had 63% of the ball to Göztepe's 37%, shots finished 12-18, expected goals 1.41 to 2.42.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Beşiktaş had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Beşiktaş and 0.83 for Göztepe.

What was the final score of Beşiktaş vs Göztepe?

Beşiktaş 2-4 Göztepe in the Turkey - Super League on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beşiktaş vs Göztepe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Beşiktaş win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Beşiktaş 55%, draw 24%, Göztepe 21%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Beşiktaş) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Beşiktaş) ✓ Over 2.5
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