Samsunspor 1-1 Alanyaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.02
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
3.96
6+ Goals
9%
17.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.02 — our 29% vs market 27.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.6
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.75
X/1
17%
4.32
X/2
16%
8.11
X/X
13%
4.42
2/1
9%
26.5
2/2
8%
6.34
2/X
5%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-7.2pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.5pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.8pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Samsunspor EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Alanyaspor EU Bookmakers 27%
+7% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +5%
1.39/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.27
+10% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +21%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
350 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 75%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
19.3 Crosses 16.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Samsunspor
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Alanyaspor
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.94 xG 1.12
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
268 Passes 486
77% Pass Accuracy 86%
15 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
18.05.2024 Samsunspor Samsunspor 1-1 HT 0-1 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
17.01.2024 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 1-3 HT 1-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TÜK
25.12.2023 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 3-1 HT 2-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TSL
12.03.2016 Samsunspor Samsunspor 5-1 HT 3-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor T1L
17.10.2015 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 3-2 HT 1-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor T1L
01.06.2015 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 0-4 HT 0-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TP1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Samsunspor
1-1
AWAY Alanyaspor
0.78 xG 0.98
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 9
326 Passes 318
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 28
5 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Samsunspor vs Alanyaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Samsunspor and Alanyaspor shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Samsunspor at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Samsunspor had 49% of the ball to Alanyaspor's 51%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 0.78 to 0.98.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Samsunspor had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Samsunspor and 1.50 for Alanyaspor.

What was the final score of Samsunspor vs Alanyaspor?

Samsunspor 1-1 Alanyaspor in the Turkey - Super League on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Samsunspor vs Alanyaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Samsunspor win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Samsunspor 42%, draw 28%, Alanyaspor 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Samsunspor), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Samsunspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TSL More Turkey - Super League
24 Nov 2024
13:30 Sivasspor vs Kasımpaşa Analysis →
16:00 Konyaspor vs Hatayspor Analysis →
19:00 Beşiktaş vs Göztepe Analysis →